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Tax or No Tax?

September 30, 2009 · 10 comments

The good news: nearly 50% of American households (47%, to be precise) won’t pay any federal income tax in 2009.

The bad news: the remaining 50% (or so) will have to foot the bill for everyone.

You can thank (or blame) the new economic recovery package for bumping the percentage of taxpayers who won’t be paying a wee bit higher (about 10%).

But don’t just start pointing fingers at the working poor. While it’s true that the majority of those who are paying no federal income tax this year make below $30,000 annually, up to 10% of households making between $75,000 and $100,000 also qualify. New tax breaks, refundable credits, exclusion of a portion of unemployment benefits and state and local sales tax deductions account for much of the zero income tax for 2009.

It’s important to note that these figures don’t include payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare). On average in 2009, taxpayers will pay an average of 8.4% of their income in payroll taxes. If you take those taxes into account, only 24% of households will pay no tax.

Payroll taxes often get left out of the “who pays tax?” equation. While it’s true that the top percentage of wage earners pay most of the federal income taxes as a percentage of income, they are also among the lowest in terms of payroll taxes. The top 1% of income earners report 16% of total income but pay less than 4% of payroll taxes. That’s because contributions for Social Security are capped at $106,800. If you make more than that, the overage is not subject to Social Security; this is referred to as a regressive tax (our “regular” income tax system is said to be progressive). Additionally, much of the unearned income in the country (dividends, etc.) is attributable to the very wealthy; unearned income is not subject to payroll taxes.

The lower 60% of income earners report 25% of income but pay about 33% of payroll taxes. Those somewhere in the middle pay the rest (of course).

How does this play out in terms of averages? In 2009, the average federal tax rate paid as a percentage of income in the US is 18.2%. The top 0.1% wealthiest taxpayers will pay an average of 27.9% (not as high as I would have guessed) while the very poorest taxpayers actually “pay” a negative tax (this is due to refundable credits like the EITC and the Making Work Pay credit).

In terms of all federal taxes, and not just income tax, the top 20% of income earners will report more than half of total cash income but will pay a whopping 2/3 of all federal taxes (including income, estate, etc.).

Of course, this data can be manipulated a million different ways (look, I already started!) and you can bet it will continue to be throughout the next election. For now, it’s just something to munch on. You can read the entire Tax Policy Center report here (downloadable as a pdf).

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Remember last month when Secretary of the Treasury Timothy Geithner would not rule out a tax increase for the middle class to resolve our budget woes?

Well, apparently he’s changed his mind. Speaking this week, Geithner was asked the same question. This time, his answer was: “I don’t think so, no.”

So there you have it. Yes and no. (I still expect no.)

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One of the most controversial measures in the soon-to-be-law American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 has nothing to do with tax cuts, earmarks or CEO pay caps. But the inclusion of one little sentence has set off a firestorm of complaints all over the world. The sentence?

None of the funds appropriated or otherwise made available by this Act may be used for a project for the construction, alteration, maintenance, or repair of a public building or public work unless all of the iron, steel, and manufactured goods used in the project are produced in the United States.

Who knew that we even had manufacturing in the US anymore? Certainly not this girl who moved from rural North Carolina, where her father’s job was more or less shipped to Mexico, to Philadelphia, where once bustling warehouses, now empty, line the streets of North Philly…

But apparently we do. (Where? Pittsburgh? Detroit? I just don’t see it.)

And we’ve decided it’s that important that we want to slap a “Buy American” on the stimulus package.

A move to kick start prosperity – or a recipe for disaster?

Gary Shapiro, president of the Consumer Electronics Association, thinks it’s the latter: “The ‘Buy American’ provisions … will signal to our trading partners around the world that the United States is returning to the bad old days of protectionism and economic nationalism.” (You can read his entire statement here.)

The bill still requires that the US act in a manner consistent with existing trade pacts, a measure that was pushed by President Obama. This means that the countries that we like (Canada, those in the European Union and Japan, to name a few) may still get a share of the new infrastructure projects. But those countries that we don’t like do not have a trade pact with, such as China, India and Russia, get nothing.

Proponents argue that it’s just common sense to require American projects to be built with American goods – especially if those projects are being support with taxpayer dollars. But opponents argue that the measure will make projects more time consuming and more expensive (estimates are that the final costs will be at least 25% more expensive with the “Buy American” provisions), which will penalize taxpayers.

It’s an interesting question, for sure, and one we’ve tackled on the blog before. You may remember that last year, I challenged my readers to think about how they spent their day and to make a note of which products they used and where those products were made. It was so much fun, I’m doing it again!

So again, I’d love for you to play along. Throughout your day, if you see a “Made in…” label, please stop by and leave a note in the comments.

I am anxious to see how much of our purchases are American…

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It is common sense to take a method and try it. If it fails, admit it frankly and try another. But above all, try something.
- Franklin D. Roosevelt

Clearly, something isn’t working in America. With mounting job losses, creeping retail sales, record foreclosures, it was clear that something had to change. What wasn’t abundantly clear was how to effectuate that change.

Congress thinks it has an answer. After weeks of back and forth, the compromise version of the stimulus package, the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, has passed both houses of Congress. It now moves to President Obama’s desk where it is expected to become law on Tuesday, February 17, 2009.

The bill has been both touted and criticized on both sides. We’ve heard cries of “it’s too much!” and “it’s not enough!” by both sides of the House and Senate. Now, with the details finally hammered out, it’s your chance to weigh in.

First, the specifics. The estimated price tag of the new bill is $789.5 billion, just over the amount pledged as part of the TARP bailout signed into law by then President Bush. Nobody even flinches at the “b” anymore. It is, however, less than the original versions proposed by the Senate, the House and President Obama.

Sixty five percent (65%) of the bill reflects increased expenditures. Roughly half of those expenditures are direct benefits spending for food stamps, jobless benefits and the like; the remaining amount is appropriated for infrastructure and other projects.

The remaining thirty five percent (35%) are tax provisions which will have a direct impact on tax bills for businesses and individuals. Here are a few highlights:

1, No rebate checks. Most tax professionals, myself included, have speculated for months that a second check would not be included in the final version of the bill, despite rumors to the contrary. The reality is that the prior administration just did not get the “bang for the buck” that they had hoped for in exchange for mailing out rebate checks. It was an expensive and most would argue, failed, attempt to inject consumer cash into the economy. So, no rebate checks this go round (but see #2 and #3 below).

2, Making Work Pay Credit. Rather than rely on rebate checks, the new bill includes a tax credit, the Making Work Pay Credit, which will provide up to $400 per individual worker and $800 per working married couple. Excluded from eligibility are nonresident aliens and those who can be claimed as a dependent on another taxpayer’s return. The credit will be administered through cuts in withholding – you’ll see a few dollars extra in your paycheck each pay period (and I do mean a “few” dollars!). The full credit would be available to those earning $75,000 or less ($150,000 per married working couple). Phase-outs would allow a partial credit for individuals up to $100,000 and couples earning up to $200,000. The credit, which would be administered by cuts in federal withholding, would also be refundable, so that if you do not have enough withheld to result in dollars back throughout the year, you can likely apply it to your tax return (this includes those who are self-employed).

3, Credit for Retirees and the Disabled. Since those who are retirees and/or disabled would not qualify for the Making Work Pay Credit, they will receive a one time payment of $250. The specifics aren’t yet public but I’m guessing that it will be in the form of a check, as with the rebate.

4, AMT Relief. The bill includes yet another one-year provision, called a “patch”, to shield middle class taxpayers from the AMT (Alternative Minimum Tax). The exemption amount is bumped up a few hundred dollars. The exemption amounts for 2009 are now $70,950 for married couples and $46,700 for individual taxpayers.

5, Partial Unemployment Compensation Exemption. Unemployment compensation is generally taxable as income for federal tax purposes. The new bill allows a federal income tax exemption for the first $2,400 received in federal unemployment benefits in 2009. Amounts above that limit remain taxable.

6, Child Tax Credit Income Limit Lowered. The income threshold for eligibility for the child tax credit will be lowered to $3,000. That means that families will begin qualifying for the credit (up to $1000) at each dollar earned over $3,000. This temporary reduction is only applicable for 2009 and 2010.

7, Increase in Earned Income Tax Credit. The amount recoverable under the earned income credit will be increased to 45% of qualifying earnings for low-income families with three or more children. There is also a provision to offer “marriage penalty” relief incurred in the credit. Like the child tax credit income, this provision is only applicable for 2009 and 2010.

8, American Opportunity Tax Credit. A temporary provision to expand the Hope Scholarship tax credit is included in the bill. The applicable amount has been increased to $2500 and applies for all four years of college. The two year credit (for 2009 and 2010) is also partially refundable.

9, 529 Plan Qualified Expenses Expanded. Taxpayers can now add computers and computer technology, which could include educational software and internet, to the list of expenses which qualify under a 529 plan. This exception applies to 2009 and 2010 only.

10, Sales Tax Deductions for New Car Buyers. Taxpayers can deduct state and local sales taxes paid on the purchase of a new car, light vehicle, recreational vehicle or motorcycle on their federal income tax (leased vehicles do not qualify). The deduction is above-the-line deduction, meaning that you don’t have to itemize to qualify. There’s a $49,500 limit on the cost of the vehicle and income restrictions apply (upper limits of $125,000 for individual taxpayers and $250,000 for married taxpayers). The deduction is available through the end of 2009.

11, No Car Loan Interest Deduction. Finally, some common sense. You know I wasn’t a fan of the $10 billion proposed break in personal interest for car loans. It was removed from the final bill.

12, Temporary Credit for Home Buyers. The final version of the bill increases the size of the existing temporary, refundable first-time home buyer credit to $8,000 – the Senate version was largely scrapped. The requirement that the credit be paid back over 15 years has been removed; however, if you sell the home within three years (some exceptions for hardship and divorce apply), the credit must be paid back. Income is capped at $75,000 for individuals and $150,000 for married taxpayers for qualifying taxpayers. This credit is applicable from January 1, 2009 through November 30, 2009. Homeowners who previously qualified for the 2008 tax credit are not affected.

13, Expansion of Residential Energy Credits. The residential energy property tax credit has been increased from 10% to 30%, with a cap of $1,500, total, for 2009 and 2010. Qualifying modifications include energy efficient insulation, exterior windows (including skylights) and doors, central air conditioners and some water heaters or furnaces.

14, Transit Accounts. Pretax accounts for commuting have been capped at at $230 per month for parking and for public transit. Finally!

15, Small Business Owner Estimated Tax Break. Under prior law, estimated tax payments were required to be at least 100% of the tax liability for the prior year in order to escape penalty. In 2009, estimated tax payments for individuals with a majority of income derived from a small business (meaning 500 or fewer employees) will be allowed a “safe harbor” of 90% of the 2008 liability.

16, Financial Institution Compensation Capped. Despite rumors that the compensation caps were not included in the final bill, the provisions did make it in – and the final version is much much strict than those imposed by the White House. Bonuses for executives at all financial institutions receiving TARP money will be limited to no more than 1/3 of annual compensation. The bonuses must be paid in company stock, not other perks, which is restricted for sale until after the TARP money is repaid. These limits apply to top executives and the highest-paid employees at all 359 banks receiving “bail out” money.

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It’s a massive bill. To summarize pages and pages into readable bits is quite challenging – and I’m sure that I left something out that somebody cares about (NOLs for businesses, anyone?). But I tried to cover what I think is most interesting to you. If you don’t see something that you were looking for – or if you have questions – just ask. I’m happy to try and muddle through to find the answers.

Likewise, I’d love to know what you think about the final bill. Is it all that you hoped it would be and more?

And here’s my disclaimer: I’ve read the bill (you can, too, by going to thomas.gov). And some of the amended versions – there were a staggering 485 amendments. And the compromise version. And the “final” version. My head hurts from so much “strike section 1(a)” and “insert section 2(b)” here nonsense. It’s been quite a whirlwind of additions and deletions. Until the ink is dry on the page, however, this bill is not law. So, keep that in mind, okay?

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Fun Stimulus Bill Facts

13 February 2009

I’m not going to issue a complete report on the stimulus plan until the ink on the signature page is dry (Obama plans to sign the final version of the bill on Monday). But for now, here are some fun stat facts about the bill:

Number of pages in the bill: 680 (editor’s [...]

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Ask the taxgirl: Do I Need to Do Anything to Claim the Rebate?

10 February 2009

Taxpayer asks:
I recently did my taxes through Turbo tax and during the process Turbo tax informed me that I qualify for a rebate of $300.00 (stimulus payment) beings I did not work 2007 and missed out on the 2008 rebate. Here is what turbo tax said “your situation has changed, and you qualify for [...]

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Housing Credit Bill Survives Debate (Psst, I Still Don’t Like It)

9 February 2009

As of this evening (Monday), it seems that the Senate version of the housing bill will make it intact to the vote on tomorrow. And you know that I’m not a fan. I promised that I’d explain why I think it’s a bad idea. It’s taken a few extra days (yes, a [...]

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Slight Majority of Americans Favor Stimulus

9 February 2009

As the stimulus plan works its way through the Senate, it appears to be losing popularity among US taxpayers. At the end of 2008, taxpayers were clamoring for a stimulus package, although there was not a lot of agreement as to what should be included. So Congress and President Obama went to work. [...]

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Looking for Bank Bailout News?

9 February 2009

You won’t get it today.
Newly confirmed Secretary of the Treasury Timothy Geithner was slated to announce details of the revised bank bailout plan on today but that’s not going to happen. The Treasury is moving the planned speech ahead to tomorrow in order to focus on the economic stimulus bill. The bill is [...]

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Vote on Stimulus Bill Expected on Monday

7 February 2009

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) has indicated that the newly “trimmed” stimulus package will go to a vote in the Senate on Monday. The bill now costs approximately $827 billion.
You would have thought that the Senate had found the cure for cancer, as they congratulated each other for finally agreeing on something. They [...]

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